Davion Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has compiled 5.5 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard in recent games.
The 8th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell figures to see an increase in output across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (89th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Raptors.

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