Davion Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has posted 5.9 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the league's best by this metric in recent games: 94th percentile.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Raptors.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Toronto Raptors.
Davion Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens player production across the board.

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