Davion Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has averaged 3.0 assists per game at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard.
The 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 7th-best in in the league playing at home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Davion Mitchell figures to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.

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