Darius Garland Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2025

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Darius Garland

NBA · Player Props

Darius Garland

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Mar 5, 2025

Updated Mar 6, 2025 3:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Darius Garland Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Darius Garland rates in the 92nd percentile for shots scored, totaling a whopping 7.6 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland slots into the 95th percentile for three-point shots converted, averaging 3.0 per game this year.
Darius Garland has averaged 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have posted 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Miami Heat).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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