Darius Garland Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Darius Garland

NBA · Player Props

Darius Garland

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 1:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Darius Garland Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Darius Garland comes in at the 90th percentile for field goals scored, logging an enormous 7.4 per game this year.
Darius Garland has sunk an impressive 2.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly more than his 2.3 rate last season.
Darius Garland has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 77th percentile.
The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Cavaliers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Darius Garland should suffer a drop-off in output across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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