Darius Garland Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Darius Garland

NBA · Player Props

Darius Garland

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Darius Garland Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Darius Garland has made 56.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's made overall this year.
Darius Garland has sunk 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
Darius Garland has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
As it relates to shooting, the Cavaliers's excellent 121.8 points per game rates 2nd-most in the league this year.
The Cavaliers will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (20.5%).
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Darius Garland will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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