Darius Garland Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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Darius Garland

NBA · Player Props

Darius Garland

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 12:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Darius Garland Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Darius Garland has totaled 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.3 higher than he's totaled in all games this season at home.
Darius Garland has sunk 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's sunk in all games this season playing at home.
Among all players in the league, Darius Garland comes in at the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.3 minutes per game this year.
In terms of shooting, the Cavaliers's superb 123.5 points per game places strongest in the NBA this year.
The 7th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 23.6% on threes (worst in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, branding this as a hard matchup.
The Cavaliers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Toronto may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Raptors are the visiting team (5th-least in the league).

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