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Darius Garland

Darius Garland Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Darius Garland Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland comes in at the 87th percentile, totaling an enormous 18.7 points per game this year.

Darius Garland has made 3.9 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers.

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Darius Garland has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.

The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which should decrease plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Darius Garland has attempted a mere 3.5 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.7 rate last year.

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