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Darius Garland

Darius Garland Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks

Darius Garland Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Darius Garland lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a massive 31.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely get a boost in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 6thbest in in the league on their home court with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Darius Garland will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to boost player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Darius Garland has attempted a mere 14.1 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 16.3 rate last season.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can produce further chances for offense).

Darius Garland has made a mere 3.2 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.0 rate last season.

With respect to drawing fouls, the Cleveland Cavaliers's feeble 20.0 free throw attempts per game while on their home court rates 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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