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Darius Garland

Darius Garland Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Darius Garland Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+100/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Darius Garland has attempted 18.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.3 minutes per game this year.

In terms of scoring, the Cleveland Cavaliers's outstanding 48.9% field goal percentage away from home settles in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 6.0 clip, Darius Garland's 3-point attempts have tailed off this year to 4.8 per game.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a hard one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 20 games (15.2).

The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Cavaliers check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Darius Garland will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production across the board.

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