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Darius Garland

Darius Garland Assists
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets

Darius Garland Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Darius Garland has tallied 7.4 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.

Darius Garland has averaged 34.9 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Darius Garland ought to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Darius Garland comes in at the 82nd percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.1 fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.

The 8th-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

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