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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dario Saric has sunk 27.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 10.4% higher than he's converted in all games this season on his home court.

The Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Kristaps Porzingis is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when Porzingis is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 12.9 shots made from the field per game (100th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Dario Saric will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Dario Saric comes in at the 12th percentile for three-point performance when playing at home with a feeble 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the league, Dario Saric places in the 23rd percentile for playing time, logging a measly 13.6 minutes per game this year.

Dario Saric has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 4thworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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