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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against Brandon Clarke is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Clarke is on his home court and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.9 3-point shots per game (96th percentile).

The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.

The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Dario Saric has converted 85.2% of his foul shots since the start of last season, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dario Saric has converted 26.9% of his shot attempts from the field away from home this year, putting him in the 2nd percentile among all players in the league.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year has been the Nuggets.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Brandon Clarke has been quite low this year (1.1 free throws per game when they are playing at home: 4th percentile).

Dario Saric will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production across the board.

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