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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Nuggets have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Dario Saric lands in the 84th percentile for free-throw prowess with a great 85.2% rate since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dario Saric has sunk 23.6% of his field goal attempts while on the road this year, ranking in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
  • The number of points averaged against Brandon Clarke has been remarkably low (10.7 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
  • The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when Clarke is playing at home and guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 1.1 foul shots per game (4th percentile).
  • Dario Saric figures to see a decline in productivity across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

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