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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dario Saric has sunk 50.3% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from home.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the league on the road with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies (losing possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Dario Saric ranks in the 84th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a a great 86.8% rate this year.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (26th-highest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Warriors have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Grizzlies are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
  • The Warriors have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Grizzlies).
  • Dario Saric should suffer a reduction in performance across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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