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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 1.8 three-pointers per game (24th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a positive matchup.

The Golden State Warriors will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from facing the most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

The Warriors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to shooting, the Warriors's subpar 46.5% field goal percentage places 8th-worst in the NBA this year.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

At home, the Bucks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the league) against the Milwaukee Bucks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Dario Saric stands to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.

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