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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost opportunities for the Warriors.

The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have come down with 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Dario Saric has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Dario Saric ought to get a boost in production in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Warriors check in as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have posted 130.8 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive production.

The 4th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; their opposition has attempted a colossal 30.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (most in the league).

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