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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the other team has put up 109.8 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive productivity.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Dario Saric has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Dario Saric will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to offense, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.7% field goal percentage with the home court advantage places 3rd-fewest in the league this year.

The Warriors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors.

The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 23.3 foul shots per game over the last 18 games (4th-most in the NBA).

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