Dario Saric Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Dario Saric

NBA · Player Props

Dario Saric

F-C · Golden State Warriors

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 4:08 PM EST

Analysis

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 6.2 clip, Dario Saric's points per game have jumped this year to 10.8.
Dario Saric has made an impressive 1.7 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 0.8 rate last season.
In contrast to last season's 13.6 clip, Dario Saric's playing time has surged this season to 21.4 minutes per game.
The 10th-speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.5% field goal rate at home places 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have posted 11.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Clippers, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers (retaining possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
Dario Saric will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance across the board.

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