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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dario Saric registers in the 75th percentile for three-point attempts while playing at home, compiling 4.0 per game this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 7.4 shots made from the field per game (26th-most in the league) against the Nuggets, creating a positive matchup.

The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games while playing at home.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dario Saric has converted 2.5 baskets per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

This year, their opposition has come down with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game since the start of last season (11th-least in the league).

Dario Saric is expected to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats considering being on the road in this contest.

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