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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Dario Saric Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Pelicans may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a measly 18.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Pelicans are on their home court (2nd-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

This matchup is a good one for threes; when the Pelicans are playing at home, opposing squads have posted the 8th-highest three rate in the NBA against them this year (36.2%).

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

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