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Dario Saric

Dario Saric Assists
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Dario Saric Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Dario Saric ought to see a rise in effectiveness across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dario Saric has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (79th percentile).

The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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