Daniel Gafford Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Steals

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 14, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 3:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -275 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Daniel Gafford figures to see an increase in output across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has compiled 0.2 steals per game while at home this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's worst by this standard.
Daniel Gafford has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

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