Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 6, 2025

Updated Feb 7, 2025 1:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has tallied 5.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
Daniel Gafford has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 7.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.
Daniel Gafford will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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