Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Daniel Gafford stands to see an increase in efficiency for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has tallied a lowly 3.6 defensive rebounds per game this year, significantly lower than his 4.7 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford measures in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

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