Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -2500 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has totaled 2.7 offensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this metric over this stretch: 96th percentile.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the league on the road with a mere 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Daniel Gafford will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production for all stats.

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