Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-150/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has compiled 2.9 offensive boards per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 96th percentile.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 7th-best in in the league on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Daniel Gafford will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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