Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 1:14 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has put up 2.9 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 96th percentile.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).
Daniel Gafford stands to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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