Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has averaged 3.3 offensive boards per game this year on the road, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this standard over this stretch of games: 97th percentile.
The Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).
The Mavericks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 79th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
Daniel Gafford will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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