Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 2:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has averaged 2.5 offensive boards per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric over this stretch.
The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Daniel Gafford will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production across the board.

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