Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 1:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-104/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has posted 2.6 offensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 95th percentile.
The Mavericks are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.9 fouls per game away from home since the start of last season.
The 4th-most sluggish tempo away team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Daniel Gafford will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

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