Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/28/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 28, 2024

Updated May 29, 2024 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has totaled a terrific 2.5 offensive boards per game this year, significantly more than his 2.1 offensive boards per game last year.
Daniel Gafford will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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