Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/18/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 18, 2024

Updated May 19, 2024 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-111/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has posted a whopping 2.5 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.1 offensive rebounds per game last year.
The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Daniel Gafford ought to see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with only 10.0 offensive boards per game this year.

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