Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 9, 2024

Updated May 10, 2024 3:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has averaged an impressive 2.6 offensive boards per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.1 offensive boards per game last season.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.
Daniel Gafford will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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