Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 7, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 7:17 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has posted 2.6 offensive boards per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost opportunities for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Daniel Gafford will likely suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

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