Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · May 3, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 1:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has totaled a whopping 2.5 offensive rebounds per game this season, significantly more than his 2.1 offensive rebounds per game last season.
Daniel Gafford figures to see a rise in production across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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