Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 11:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has put up a terrific 2.7 offensive boards per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.1 offensive boards per game last season.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
The Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Daniel Gafford should suffer a reduction in performance across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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