Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:12 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has compiled a terrific 2.7 offensive boards per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.1 offensive boards per game last year.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 2.4 clip, Daniel Gafford's personal fouls per game have surged this season to 3.2.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Daniel Gafford will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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