Daniel Gafford Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has averaged an impressive 2.8 offensive rebounds per game this season, significantly higher than his 2.1 offensive rebounds per game last season.
The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Daniel Gafford stands to see a rise in output in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford places in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

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