Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 4/13/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Apr 13, 2025

Updated Apr 14, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has converted 69.0% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
Daniel Gafford has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 6.5 higher than he's played overall this year on the road.
In regard to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 48.3% field goal percentage as the away team places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Marvin Bagley III is a good one for shots from downtown; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a colossal 43.3% of their shots from downtown (97th percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Marvin Bagley III has been quite low this year (2.9 foul shot attempts per game: 7th percentile).
Daniel Gafford should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.