Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford slots into the 95th percentile for field goal proficiency on his home court with a very good 63.8% rate this year.
Daniel Gafford has played 26.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 more than he's played overall this year.
With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's impressive 50.3% field goal percentage settles in as the 3rd-highest in the league over the last 15 games.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks.
The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.
Daniel Gafford has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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