Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 95th percentile for shooting ability while playing at home with a very good 63.4% rate this year.
Daniel Gafford has averaged 27.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The 6th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
Compared to last year's 63.9% mark, Daniel Gafford's foul-shot effectiveness has increased this year to 72.4%.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Mavericks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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