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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2025

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has converted 7.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's converted in all games this season on the road.

Daniel Gafford has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 7.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.

The matchup vs. Kristaps Porzingis is a positive one for threes; when Porzingis is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 40.3% of their three-pointers (86th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford lands in the 5th percentile for shot attempts from downtown without the home court advantage, putting up 0.0 per game this year.

The Mavericks check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.

Daniel Gafford will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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