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Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2025

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-143/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.1 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Daniel Gafford has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 7.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.

The number of 3-pointers attempted against Joel Embiid has been very high (4.4 per game) when at home and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road.

The Mavericks rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Daniel Gafford has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

In regard to 3-point attempts, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Mavericks.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league in their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Mavericks.

The matchup with Joel Embiid with respect to getting to the free-throw line measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting only 1.8 foul shots per game this year.

Daniel Gafford ought to experience a decrease in output across the board in light of being on the road in this game.

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