Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 6.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net overall this year.
Daniel Gafford has averaged 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
When it comes to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 47.8% field goal percentage ranks 7th-most in the league this year.
The number of points averaged against Alex Sarr has been remarkably high (16.8 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.
Daniel Gafford has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while at home with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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