Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 4:39 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford measures in the 95th percentile for shooting proficiency playing at home with an impressive 62.4% rate this year.
The matchup against Jaylin Williams is a positive one for 3-point shots; when Williams is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have averaged a whopping 1.2 threes per game (93rd percentile).
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford registers in the 6th percentile for 3-point attempts on his home court, posting 0.0 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford measures in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Mavericks check in as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.

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