Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 14, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 2:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 62.4% of his field goal attempts at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford registers in the 6th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc when playing at home, totaling 0.0 per game this year.
Daniel Gafford has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league as the home team this year has been the Mavericks.

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