Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford places in the 99th percentile for shooting ability with a stellar 71.0% rate this year.
The Mavericks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.
Daniel Gafford has made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 26.4% higher than he's put through the net overall this year away from his home court.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the league on the road with a mere 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Daniel Gafford will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production for all stats.

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