Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 1:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has made 67.8% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to get a boost in plays today from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Cavaliers).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Favors Under

Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Daniel Gafford has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
In terms of three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

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