Daniel Gafford Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Daniel Gafford

NBA · Player Props

Daniel Gafford

F-C · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 1:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Gafford Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Daniel Gafford has made 69.9% of his shot attempts from the field while playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
The 6th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 7th-best in in the league when playing at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Daniel Gafford has sunk 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's made overall this season while playing at home.
Daniel Gafford stands to see a rise in productivity across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford lands in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league playing at home over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 9th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year (the LA Clippers).

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